Will the Nevada DemDebate be all about Michael Bloomberg—even as Bernie Sanders leads in the polls? FiveThirtyEight discusses:
that she’s going to make a comeback on Super Tuesday. But if she has another disappointing finish in Nevada, that could definitely slow her down even further.I dunno. Warren is not THAT far behind since nobody is THAT far ahead.
Obviously a win or a strong second-place finish in Nevada could reverse the narrative about her, though.The debate is about Bloomberg, like it or not. It just is. The media is fucking obsessed with Bloomberg. And it’s his first debate. He’s 90 percent likely to be the headline, positive or negative.nrakich:We’ve heard Sanders, Warren, Biden, etc., say the same thing a zillion times. We have no idea how Bloomberg will hold up under pressure. So he is the one we will likely learn the most about tonight.But Bloomberg kind of has nothing to lose at this point. He’s skipping Nevada, and negative or positive, the focus on him only further legitimizes him as a candidate.Oh, he definitely has a lot to lose. He’s been pumping his message out to people totally unanswered thanks to hisYeah, that’s what I was going to say. At this point, he’s largely gotten to control his brand.And a big known unknown for Bloomberg is how good of a debater he is. His team isYeah, I agree with Nathaniel. Whatever you think of the fact that Bloomberg hasn’t appeared in a debate so far, this is his introduction to a debate audience — and maybe more importantly, his rivals’ first chance to attack him in a debate setting. Which is crazy, since we’ve been covering these things for EIGHT MONTHS.I think he has a lot to lose but also expectations seem to be fairly low, i.e., the media assumes he’ll be a mediocre debater.I think there’s room for him to be a decent debater but also for this debate to represent the first mass airing of anti-Bloomberg grievances to the American public. Like, even if Bloomberg has answers for the criticisms levied against him, it’s the first time many Americans will hear those criticisms.Bloomberg is the one candidate that sort of unites all the others against him. He’s trying to elbow out the other candidates in the moderate lane. And he obviously has beef with Sanders, and the race could easily come down to those two.That’s true. I just wonder if a debate-long attack from, say, Sanders will make it seem as if Bloomberg is the de facto moderate candidate.That’s an interesting point, Kaleigh — maybe Biden does run the risk of seeming even weaker if the debate is largely between Bloomberg and Sanders.Also, Bloomberg has not been a longstanding and loyal member of the Democratic Party. He isn’t owed any particular favors or deference. So I’d expect a higher aggression level than we’ve seen in past debates.in the last few election cycles.I would argue that it could actually be tricky for someone like Klobuchar or Biden, who are establishment-aligned and came up through the big-donor system, to go after him directly.
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