Year two of Russell Wilson in Denver, and technically speaking there is still a Broncos draft pick at stake for the Seahawks Will Russ have a bounce-back year? Or is he cooked and the Seahawks dodged a huge bullet by not extending his deal?
Moving forward, Wilson may be the case study for what happens to high-end dual threat QBs and their aging curves relative to Tom Brady or Peyton Manning or Rivers or Aaron Rodgers. Quarterbacks are more involved in the run game than ever before, and Wilson was at the forefront of this movement a decade ago. If we are to assume usage rate matters substantially in a running back’s career, the same should apply to quarterbacks who are tasked with doubling as part-time running backs.
Wilson will be 35 in November and it seems unwise to continue to play him like he’s in his 20s. His once historically great durability is now waning and I don’t think 2022 was necessarily a one-off for his body. Those hits and sacks are taking a serious toll on him physically, and the day he clearly loses his elite accuracy is the day he’s not an NFL level starting QB anymore.
The only way for Russell to be an above-average quarterback again is to be a prototypical pocket passer, which also involves attacking the middle of the field a lot more than he’s done throughout his career. This also means everything around him has to be absolutely right, which is a big difference from when Wilson could overcome bad offensive lines and weak running games to still be successful.
If Wilson ends up faltering even with a better environment around him than last season, then it’s very clear that the Seahawks won the trade even if this year’s draft class isn’t as impactful as 2022. Seattle would’ve gotten high-end draft capital for a declining player, as opposed to the alternate world of paying him a ton of money with potentially disastrous long-term results.
So what say you? Is Wilson reaching the point of no return or can Sean Peyton get him back on track? Join the discussion in the comments below!
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