Apologies to former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, but this week, and probably for the next two months, the most important woman in the 2024 presidential race is Kim Reynolds, the governor of Iowa.
Do you agree with the decision to send weapons, soldier and ships to the Middle East as a deterrent in the Israel-Hamas war?
Obviously, if Mr. Trump loses in either Iowa or New Hampshire, his aura of invincibility and inevitability will be punctured, and a real campaign might emerge. Mrs. Reynolds may be the key to Iowa. In the 2022 cycle, she won reelection convincingly, taking 95 of the 99 counties in her state. Perhaps more importantly, she ran ahead of Mr. Trump’s 2020 performance in every county in Iowa, in most cases by double digits.
A month after that, in September, Mr. Trump called the state’s fetal heartbeat law — which Mrs. Reynolds had signed just a few weeks earlier and which a majority of those likely to attend the caucus support — a “terrible thing.”
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