Wildfires in US West match climate projections ‘eerily’ well

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Wildfires in US West match climate projections ‘eerily’ well
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The Southwest saw 0.19% of its forested area burned in 2018, in a historical scenario that estimates previous years’ risk.

In their three future scenarios for 2099, that figure rises to 0.9%, 1.8% and 2.9%. The differences among those potential outcomes are enormous, underscoring the influence that humanity’s decisions to act or not act will have on global heating, Anderegg said.What’s your reaction when reading about an event like the fires in New Mexico?

The study has two parts, a look back at what’s happened and a look ahead at what might, through “scenarios.” What does that mean? Why do scientists stick with technical names? Why not just use small, medium and large? Or maybe tall, grande and venti?

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