Nominees face more opposition nowadays, but rarely from the president's party.
Celal Gunes/Anadolu, Oliver Douliery/AFP, Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images, Kent Nishimura/Getty Images, AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite, Adobe Stockof his Cabinet nominees. His first choice for attorney general, former Rep. Matt Gaetz, withdrew from consideration, and some of his other picks have their own personal scandals or controversies to overcome in the Senate confirmation process.
None of this precludes further developments that could lead another nominee to withdraw due to controversy or scandal, or that one nominee could go down to defeat on the Senate floor — something that hasn't happened since 1989. But considering Trump's especially dominant sway within his party as well as those broader trends, it's easy to see how the Senate could confirm even some of his most controversial picks.
With 53 senators in the next Congress, Republicans can afford up to three defections and still win votes via Vice President-elect JD Vance's tiebreaking vote. But in recent times, Cabinet-level nominees have faced an average of less than one vote in opposition from senators of the president's party. Biden's nominees averaged about 25 "no" votes during his one term, but practically all of those came from Republicans.
, which uses senators' voting records to place them on a continuum from -1 to 1 . The gap between the average senator from each party has increased as Democrats have shifted to the left and, especially, Republicansthan they once did. Consider how much longer it takes the Senate to finish confirming most of the high-profile secretariats for the 15 executive departments in a newly elected president's Cabinet.
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