In 2016 and 2020, many polls underestimated the strength of Republican candidates, including Donald Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris has recently experienced a noticeable rise in polling, outpacing former President Donald Trump in several key national surveys—but one expert told Newsweek why those numbers could be a mirage.Political analysts have coined the term 'Harris Honeymoon' to describe the initial boost she received entering the race over a month ago after Joe Biden dropped out of the race.
If they opt out of participating due to this distrust, it leads to underrepresentation in the polls. This is one of the primary reasons behind the polling errors observed in 2016 and 2020,' he said.Trump's Presence Makes Polls Difficult to PredictIn the midterms following the 2020 elections, polling performed better, according to a Pew Research Center analysis.
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