Why Is the Fetterman-Oz Race So Freaking Close?

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Why Is the Fetterman-Oz Race So Freaking Close?
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In 2016 and 2020, Pennsylvania was perhaps the country’s most contested swing state, and this year is no different. realaxelfoley spoke with PhillyInquirer's JonathanTamari about what’s on the line Tuesday

going into the home stretch of this campaign, with Oz having made up quite a bit of ground over the last few weeks. Do you sense that either one of them has a distinct advantage with five days to go?

I think that was a reflection of a really brutal Republican primary, where there were three candidates who drew significant levels of support from Republicans. And remember: Oz was hammered throughout that primary for not being a true conservative, because he has said a lot of things in the past that were moderate on issues like abortion and guns and fracking. So there were a lot of Republicans who were just skeptical of him from the start.

I do wonder if David McCormick, the hedge-funder who Oz beat in the primary, would’ve been doing better against Fetterman right now.. Lamb is a moderate, which is the typical Pennsylvania Democratic model, right? You think Joe Biden, you think Bob Casey, Governor Tom Wolf — those are the types of folks who win. But it’s tough to say, because McCormick and Lamb both would’ve been hit with six months of negative advertising that could have caused a lot of problems for them as well.

Mastriano has barely run any television ads until a few weeks ago, raised very little money, and has taken extreme positions in a very moderate state. A lot of Republicans are like, “Shapiro’s getting a free pass.” But, look, you have to give credit to Shapiro, too. He still has to do the work. He still has to show up and make it a blowout, which it appears to be. But yeah, Republicans said during the primary that Mastriano would be disastrous for them.

Because remember, Oz went through a lengthy, lengthy recount in a Republican primary. And he was ahead at that point, and his opponent, McCormick, was trying to catch up through the mail-ballot process and through the provisional ballots being counted. And Oz let that process play out. He didn’t claim victory; he went through the whole process until McCormick conceded. So there’s some precedent of him kind of doing that.

Well, consistency isn’t the name of their game. But in any case, could Republicans sweep the competitive House districts in the state this year?

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