Stocks Analysis by Jani Ziedins covering: S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500, S&P 500 Futures. Read Jani Ziedins's latest article on Investing.com
This isn’t the trade I’ve been waiting for. Luckily, my trading plan is keeping me on the right side of the market. As I
As readers know, I tried buying a couple of bounces over the last few weeks, and with hindsight being 20/20, obviously, those trades didn’t work as expected. Fortunately, those failed trades didn’t cost me any money because I bought the bounces early and was able to quickly move my stops up to my entry points. As I’ve written countless times, low-risk/high-reward trades are always worth trying, even when they don’t pay off.
All of that said, stocks are only down 8% from their 52-week highs, so this still qualifies as a pretty vanilla step-back and something that happens once every year or two. Of course, the alternative interpretation is stocks have “only” fallen 8%, meaning there is a lot more downside if we are truly falling into a bear market.
The S&P 500 is quickly approaching 4,200 support and the 200 dma. No matter what the future holds, we should expect at least a modest bounce at these widely followed technical levels. Maybe we violate these levels a few days later, but over the next day or two, the odds are good prices will bounce, making this the wrong place to be aggressively pressing shorts.
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