If Democrats retain their 50 seats, they keep control because of Vice President Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote.
The AP does not make projections and will only declare a winner when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. In some contested races where a party or candidate has a history of consistent and convincing wins The AP can use results from AP VoteCast to confirm a candidate’s victory, even as soon as polls close. VoteCast is a survey of American voters aimed at determining why they voted how they did.
In other close races, like the Georgia Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker, runoff contests are either pending or probable.
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