Perhaps the most popular question in politics is whether former President Donald Trump can win the 2024 election.
The simple answer is, of course he can. President Biden has some of the highest negatives ever recorded for a sitting president, and there is understandable anxiety about his age and the qualities of Vice President Kamala Harris. He is probably heading toward receiving between 45% and 51% of the popular vote, with much of that weighted toward California, Illinois and New York.
In short, the recipe that worked in 2016 for Mr. Trump — stay close enough nationally and win by close margins in places such Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and Arizona — remains operative. It may be very difficult for the new administration to recruit and employ political appointees, because the city of Washington may not guarantee their safety as they enter and exit the grounds of the White House complex — or any federal agency, for that matter.Similarly, in the event of Mr.
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