MLB picks, predictions, and odds for Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals on April 4. MLB predictions and free picks for White Sox-Royals.
Seth Lugo had a strong first start of 2024 for the Royals, but our MLB betting picks don't expect him to be as lucky tonight as he was that day. White Sox starter Michael Soroka's form is just as shaky.
After a shaky first outing, can Michael Soroka rebound to be the stopper for Chicago, or will the Royals’ Seth Lugo get the better of him?. He had a brilliant 2023 season as his ascent back up the ranks continued after his trip overseas to fix some of his flaws, finishing with a 3.57 ERA over his first full season of starting. Beneath the surface were some troubling peripherals, like a .260 expected batting average – something that was masked by his very low walk rate.
So it’s probably no surprise that Lugo’s expected ERA was at three runs higher than his unblemished marks through one start. He should have a hard time here against ateam that, while it doesn’t walk a ton, does strike out a lot and should welcome the matchup with a strike-thrower like Lugo. On top of that, they have had a decent level of success against curveballs dating back to last year, which helps considering it’s a pitch Lugo leans on quite a bit.
What I’m looking at here is the matchup with Lugo, who loves to throw his curveball. Fletcher has hunted the breaking ball all year long, and with an expected start against a right-hander I think he will notch a hit. He looked a lot better last time out when he did record his first hit against the curveball of Charlie Morton, and with just one lefty reliever in the bullpen for the Royals outside of closer Will Smith, the chances he’s lifted for a pinch hitter are much lower.at this price.
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