The Warriors have the No. 19 overall pick in the NBA Draft. Here's what new GM Mike Dunleavy Jr. and the Dubs can learn from the history of that slot:
By win shares, per Basketball Reference, the five most valuable No. 19 picks in NBA history are, in order, Rod Strickland , Archibald , Zach Randolph , Nelson and Tobias Harris . Those five players make up two Hall of Famers – one as a player and one as a coach – eight All-Star Game trips and eight All-NBA honors.
The next batch of five players ranking sixth through 10th all-time in win shares for the draft slot are Jeff Teague , John Paxson , Dee Brown , John Collins and Jamaal Magloire . They make up two All-Star appearances, two All-Rookie teams and one damn cool dunk. Over the last 10 years, the pick has produced solid players like Collins, Kevin Huerter, Saddiq Bey, Malik Beasley and Gary Harris. If the Warriors keep their pick and their choice turns out to be like any of the above names, Dunleavy and the rest of the franchise’s decision makers more than did their job. The pick in the last decade also has been used on players like Sergey Karasev, Jerian Grant and Luka Samanic.
The Warriors have found recent success in the draft following the lottery, adding Kevon Looney in 2015 and Jordan Poole in 2019. Even though years of scouting are involved, tireless hours breaking down film, analytics and interviews, the draft is a blind man’s guessing game. History shows the same to be true with where the Warriors currently sit, and all Dunleavy can do is hope he gets off on the right foot and avoids failing at basketball’s biggest gamble.
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