A poll by Harvard and Harris conducted from March 24 to 26 shows Biden beating Trump by 10 points, 55 percent to 45 percent.
In a survey conducted by Quinnipiac from March 5 to 8, Biden was ahead of Trump by 11 points, 52 percent to 41 percent. Similarly, CNN showed Biden ahead by 10 points, while an NBC News/At the same time, other polls have shown a much closer race. An ABC News/had Biden and Trump nearly tied, 49 percent to 47 percent. Additionally, that polling showed that Trump's supporters are largely more enthusiastic than those backing Biden.
While 74 percent of Biden's supporters say they are enthusiastic about the former vice president's campaign, a full 86 percent said the same of Trump. Perhaps even more concerning for Biden, however, is the fact that 55 percent of Trump's supporters said they were"very enthusiastic," while just 28 percent of Biden's backers said the same.noted that a lack of enthusiasm in the poll during past elections had signaled a loss in November for both Democrats and Republicans.
Additionally, as Democrats learned in 2016, significant leads in national polls do not necessarily translate to victory in the presidential election. Former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton was ahead of Trump by double digits in numerous polls in early and mid-2016. Although Clinton did end up winning nearly 3 million more votes overall, Trump won the Electoral College by pulling off a series of victories in battleground states.
The races in some of those key states–which include Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvani,a and Florida–appear close, according to averages compiled by Real Clear Politics. Currently, Trump appears to be narrowly ahead of Biden in Florida, while the race looks close in Wisconsin. Meanwhile, Biden appears to have narrow leads in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
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