'If they are to build on their success in 2024 and beyond, Republicans must bring their constituents’ concerns to the fore as they act as partners in governing,' writes Phillip Wallach, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute
But for a party that does not hold the White House and may not hold the Senate, mandate-thinking can be quite dangerous—especially with such a tenuous hold on the chamber.
If they are to build on their success in 2024 and beyond, Republicans must bring their constituents’ concerns to the fore as they act as partners in governing. Half a loaf is usually the most any group should hope for, and trying to hold out until the other side utterly capitulates is a recipe for self-destruction.
But examples from more recent history show the perils of over-interpreting midterm election returns. With a 54-seat net gain in the 1994 midterms, Republicans ended four decades in the minority. Their leaders, especially the big-thinking Newt Gingrich, believed that Bill Clinton’s 1992 victory had been a fluke caused by H. Ross Perot’s outsized influence.
Some commentators have talked about 2022 as if it might deliver a chance to fundamentally reorient American government, but in fact a fairly standard course correction was always more likely. This year did see fourteen House incumbents fail to regain their party’s nomination—the most since 1992. The roughly 50 retirements were on the high side of normal, rather than indicating any kind of 1894-style housecleaning.
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