The first debate between the two candidates is due to take place tonight in Philadelphia at 9 p.m. ET.
Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in polling averages ahead of their first debate, but forecasts indicate that the vice president may not win in November.Before the event, which is due to take place tonight in Philadelphia at 9 p.m. ET, some polls were showing Harris in the lead. For example, the latest poll by Big Village, conducted between September 6 and 8, shows Harris 5 points ahead of Trump among likely voters, on 49 percent to his 44 percent.
7 percent chance.Since then, Trump's chances of victory have increased, according to the forecast, which shows Trump with a 64.4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, compared to Harris' 35.3 percent. It also indicates that Harris' chance of winning the popular vote has decreased from 58 percent to 56 percent, while she is projected to win 256 electoral votes to Trump's 282. Harris is still leading in Silver's polling average by 2.3 points.
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