Republicans have few targets on the 2020 Senate map, and New Mexico could mark one of their few take-over opportunities. But it won’t be easy for them to win.
A strong Republican candidate is likely the first step towards Republicans making New Mexico competitive but it’s not the last one: We’ll have to wait and see how the national environment develops — and who Democrats nominate — to see if Democrats can retain their
advantage in New Mexico.According to FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean index, 2016 presidential election results are weighted 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results are weighted 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature are weighted 25 percent.
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