The new Democratic frontrunner is polling behind the former president — for now
US vice-president Kamala Harris is now the heavy favourite to replace Joe Biden as the Democratic party’s presidential candidate to fight Donald Trump in this year’s election. Biden has endorsed her, as have other Democratic politicians once considered possible candidates for the nomination, including swing state governors Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania.
Harris was trading at about 40 per cent, just shy of Biden’s own figure before the debate. Those same traders see Harris as having an 87 per cent chance of winning the Democratic party nomination. That gap between Harris and Trump is reflected in survey data. A Financial Times average of polls shows Harris trailing Trump by about 3 percentage points, a gap that has tightened in recent weeks. The gap is similar to what existed between Biden and Trump before Sunday.
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