Weekly Rand Report: Rand rallies amid US election drama and local economic reforms

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Weekly Rand Report: Rand rallies amid US election drama and local economic reforms
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The rand has fluctuated significantly due to international influences this past week. Softer US economic data and US election activities have caused uncertainty about the long-term strength of the US dollar.

The South African rand experienced significant fluctuations over the past week due to international influences. Softer US economic data and US election activities have created uncertainty about the long-term strength of the US dollar. Despite this, investor sentiment towards South Africa has generally been positive, with economic reform expectations under the new government and global economic trends impacting the currency.

Last week began with continued movement from the previous week’s US employment data, leading to gains for the rand. On Monday, the rand opened at around R18.11 to the dollar, experiencing highs of R18.22 and lows of R18.04 between Monday and Wednesday, with no substantial change in daily opening and closing prices. This stability was influenced by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments on the economy, suggesting that more data is needed before considering a rate cut.

The new week started with news of an assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump during his campaign for a second term. This initially caused market caution but subsequently boosted the dollar as investors speculated that this event might favour Trump’s election chances. The rate surged to R18.27 before settling at R18.17, reflecting a preference for Trump’s potential policies, which could increase demand for the dollar and weaken the rand.

The outlook for the ZAR remains cautiously optimistic, with potential for further gains if domestic reforms continue and global conditions remain favourable.delivered straight to your inbox every weekday to keep on top of everything happening with the ZAR.

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