Markets started off the week lingering at the fear of recession after the August US jobs report failed to shake off those fears.
Chinese core inflation dropping further to 0.3% as a symptom of weak Chinese demand only added further to the sour risk sentiment. We saw it in FX markets, with further slides in Swedish and Norwegian kroner, the latter also weighed down by cheaper oil. Sentiment turned around a bit on Thursday, though, with equities higher and a rebound in industrial metals and oil prices. The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely expected.
With a big question mark still hanging over the US labour market, inflation data once again took markets' focus this week on the hopes of getting some clarity on the next Fed move.0.3% m/m core inflation was a bit more than expected, mostly driven by shelter prices. On the one hand, it is a comforting sign that businesses still see room to hike prices, and a low inflation print would have added to recession concerns.
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