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United States: A Matter of Conditioning and a Matter of Fact This week brought with it a hot print on service-sector prices and a solid job gain for December.

Summary United States:A Matter of Conditioning and a Matter of Fact This week brought with it a hot print on service-sector prices and a solid job gain for December. When combined with looming tariff-related uncertainly, these developments add more fodder to the case that the Fed will pause interest rate cuts at its upcoming meeting.

The next day, the FOMC announced that it was reducing the federal funds rate by 50 bps, the first rate cut by the central bank since 2020. Since then, the FOMC has cut the fed funds rate by an additional 50 bps, but the 10-year Treasury yield is roughly 100 bps higher at 4.65%.

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