With US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s recent speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium confirming that it is time to begin easing policy as well as underlining the importance of the jobs market, this week’s jobs data may help determine how the Fed approaches its easing cycle.
Highlights: US employment situation report Bank of Canada rate announcement US jobs data With US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent speech at the Jackson Hole Symposiumconfirmingthat it is time to begin easing policy as well as underlining the importance of the jobs market, this week’s jobs data may help determine how the Fed approaches its easing cycle. Markets are pricing in -33 basis points of easing for September’s meeting.
As of writing, -29 basis points of easing is priced in for this announcement, meaning investors are anticipating another 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the Overnight Policy Rate to 4.25% and marking a third successive rate cut for the central bank. For the year, investors expect another two rate cuts following this, with a 25 basis point reduction at October and November’s meetings. And the economic landscape in Canada appears to justify rate cuts.
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