Najee Harris has had an extremely underwhelming sophomore season thus far and byalistaircorp believes this could continue against the Eagles. Take a look at our best NFL prop bets for Week 8! 👇
are just 3.5-point road dogs, Murray is much more likely to have to be the do-all star he is capable of being. And he won't need much motivation, with Minnesota having struggled to contain quarterbacks already this year.
That is a hilarious indictment of the team's run:pass split, as Pitts' five targets a game is still good for a target share of 25.4%. Atlanta's 31st in pass rate over expectation, behind just the Bears, who are doing everything possible to not let Justin Fields spin it. Though Carolina's in the bottom half of the league in both pass defense DVOA and EPA, its targets, receptions, and yards allowed to tight ends are all in the Top 10 — with per-game averages of 5.1 targets, 4.1 catches, and 41.7 yards allowed.
With Wentz on I.R., it remains Heinicke's show and thus, McLaurin remains as good of a bet as any receiver to receive elite opportunity. And, as McLaurin has proven throughout his career, an opportunity is all he needs to produce at a high level. Despite falling 30 yards from Week 1 to Week 7, Najee Harris has still gone Under his total yards prop five times this year, because he isn't very good or fully healthy, and he is ceding opportunities to rookie Jaylen Warren.
Whether it's a lingering foot injury or just the reality of who Harris is as an NFL player, his inability to make defenders miss has extended to the passing game. Regression from sky-high numbers last year, with Ben Roethlisberger at the helm, was unavoidable but he's been a non-factor in '22 with just 18 catches and 86 yards. All told, he is averaging just 2.04 yards created per touch this season.
All that is to say, Moore's experience with Mayfield is the outlier in an otherwise fantastically consistent young career. Moore has been largely quarterback- and matchup-proof in his career, so I'd comfortably take him to go Over this line with his target share getting back to where it should be.
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