I'll be honest. I'm not ready for tonight. The injuries and storylines from Week 14 still have me reeling. Practice reports and beat-writer tweets have never played a larger role than they do in the first week of the fantasy playoffs. But we've got a game tonight! A divisional rematch with playoff implications, no less.
, but the setbacks feel like the offense is on a downward spiral. And yet, Geno's kept his cool and still played like one of the better quarterbacks in the league. Despite the tough losses over the last three weeks, Smith is still top 12 across major passing metrics.
The accuracy and efficiency are still there. Seattle’s 35.2 yards per drive in those games would still rank top-10. Seattle’s defense worries me, and I can’t calculate resiliency, but the offense is still productive with Geno under center. Either way, tonight will be their toughest challenge. Smith’s response to San Francisco’s defense will be telling. Everyone will point back to Week 2 as an indicator of how bleak things are for the Seahawks. But we thought Smith was just a flash in the pan after Week 1. With his development and the offense responding to his command, Smith’s calm approach to the game may be what saves the Seahawks’ season.I’m combining two sections this week to make my final thoughts more actionable. Usually, I’d just hunt for players with FLEX appeal and cape up for them. But it’s the first week of the playoffs, and we’ve got tough start and sit decisions ahead of us.Jauan Jennings It’s easy to assume the targets will be spread around, with McCaffrey, Kittle and Aiyuk being the primary beneficiaries. So Jauan Jennings’ prospects as the WR4 are viable for a single-slate DFS contest, given the uncertainty around his usage. But the lack of floor makes him a mid-tier FLEX option for season-long matchups. Regardless, Jennings should see a bump in snaps without Samuel on the field.Ray-Ray McCloud may get some love from the boxscore crowd. But McCloud didn't earn a touch until after San Francisco had a three-score lead. Jennings has the highest slot rate of the ancillary options, with a chance to capitalize on the available targets.You’ve likely seen the adage, “Start your studs,” repeated throughout the day. And Walker qualifies as a stud. But not in the traditional sense.'s injury in Week 5. When Penny went down, the rookie had a 45.0% roster rate, making him a potential waiver-wire add. But since the backfield switch, Walker's 65.7% of his team's carries ranks seventh in the league, and he scored more times on the ground than38th out of 39 qualifying running backs in success rate. But he's tied for seventh in explosive runs, which is why he's more of a boom-or-bust player. And there's no other defense with a better ability to limit those types of runs than the 49ers. Over the last six weeks, San Francisco has allowed five runs over 10 yards. They've surrendered 18 total this season. Plus, they're third in rushing EPA per play, limiting down-to-down consistency. No rusher has topped 60 yards on them. The last two to find the paint wereWith Walker just coming off an injury, I’d look elsewhere for a star performance at running back in Week 15.
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