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Washington's Israel consensus is cracking, and this time it's not just the Democratic left

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 Washington's Israel consensus is cracking, and this time it's not just the Democratic left
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A House revolt among Democrats, a public rebuke from Republican JD Vance, and a bruising phone call with Trump all point to a new phase in US-Israeli relations.

A House revolt among Democrats, a public rebuke from Republican JD Vance, and a bruising phone call with Trump all point to a new phase in US-Israeli relations.

Trump was angered after Netanyahu publicly criticised a proposed US sale of F-35 fighter jets to Türkiye during a Fox News interview.on Wednesday to strip $3.3 billion in military aid to Israel, one of the sharpest breaks yet in a bipartisan consensus that held for half a century. Of the House's 212 Democrats, 103 voted yes, 98 voted no, and 10 voted present.

Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi voted the same way as progressive Ayanna Pressley as the Democratic leadership split three ways. But the more striking rupture this week came from inside the Republican administration itself. Vice President JD Vance told podcaster Joe Rogan that people inside the Israeli government have been running a manipulation campaign to derail the ceasefire Washington negotiated with Iran, because they wanted the war to continue.

“... We know beyond a shadow of a doubt that they are manipulating and trying to change American public opinion to keep the war going on indefinitely,” VanceNetanyahu "aggressively asserts the interests of his country," which sometimes align with those of the US and sometimes do not.

“But let us be frank and clear: they bankrolled both the GOP and Democrats; that is the real reason... not American love for Israel, but American politicians' love for Jewish donations. ” “Declaring that Israel is attempting to influence US politics is a vital step to curtailing, and one day ending, Israeli influence on US domestic and foreign policy. MAGA means independence, including from Israel,” Jurgens adds. The friction started well before Vance went on Joe Rogan.

In early June, reports emerged that Trump had cursed at Netanyahu on a call over Israel's escalation in Lebanon,him of ingratitude and demanding to know what he was doing as the strikes threatened to derail the administration's Iran negotiations. Vance himself confirmed the rift was real when CBS asked him, in a June interview, whether Netanyahu had made mistakes in handling the relationship with Washington.

Standing in the White House briefing room, Vance warned Israeli officials directly against opposing the ceasefire framework Trump had just signed with Iran,reporters that if he were in the Israeli cabinet, he might think twice before attacking the only powerful ally Israel has left in the entire world. It was the first time a senior official in this administration inverted a decades-old assumption that Israel could break publicly with a US president and still expect Washington to bend.

“The NATO Ankara Summit further cemented Washington's interest in returning to the global power stage. Anyone seen as a potential threat to that newfound image of strength is considered politically toxic,” Jurgens says.

“Continued military assistance to Israel will soon be conditioned on Washington having a clear say in how it is actually used. My guess: it will of course continue, but be much more conditional,” he adds.after Netanyahu publicly criticised a proposed US sale of F-35 fighter jets to Türkiye during a Fox News interview, just before Trump travelled to Ankara for the NATO summit on July 7-8, according to Axios.

Spain’s largest wildfire burns 12,000 hectares, forces mass evacuationsSpain’s largest wildfire burns 12,000 hectares, forces mass evacuationsTrump believed Netanyahu had "no right" to publicly intervene in the arms deal, according to a White House official, while another said the remarks further aggravated already growing tensions between the two leaders. The episode landed as Washington signalled it was ready to restore defence ties with Ankara, including lifting sanctions tied to Türkiye's purchase of the Russian S-400 system and reopening the F-35 talks Netanyahu had objected to.

The vote in Congress and the tensions inside the White House point to the same reality, with backing Israel's actions in Gaza and now in a widening regional war becoming harder for American officials to justify. Congress of over a $6 billion sale with barely an hour's warning, skipping the standard committee review and refusing to brief lawmakers on Gaza policy. emergency authority to push through a $650 million bomb sale without congressional review, the second time the administration had done so.

Aid to Israel drew almost no dissent in Congress for decades. The first cracks came after Israel's 2021 assault on Gaza, when Minnesota Representative Betty McCollumSince October 2023, the genocide in Gaza has been documented with strikes filmed in real time, ICJ provisional measures, ICC arrest warrants.

“One of the many reasons Trump got his second term in office was the unhappy electorate: economic worries, Biden's mishaps, no national purpose... Trump promised solutions,” Jurgens says.

“Democrats and Republicans know any prolonged war with Iran is a vote loser come November. Any long-term military or financial involvement is too. ”that about a third of US adults, and roughly half of Democrats, now believe Israel has committed genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. Congress, and parts of the executive branch, appear to be responding to mounting evidence from Gaza, Lebanon and Iran that has become increasingly difficult for either party to sidestep politically.

“With Gaza, even former hardliners realise that the US public regards Israel's invasion of Palestine as wrong, not calling it genocide yet, but declaring it wrong. ”Spain’s largest wildfire burns 12,000 hectares, forces mass evacuationsSpain’s largest wildfire burns 12,000 hectares, forces mass evacuationsWHO warns Ebola spreading at record pace in DRCRecurring heatwaves could cost Germany over $23B a year: study

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