While some analysts say they have trouble squaring those polls with other surveys showing a tight race nationwide, they still see potential warning signs for Biden.
RICHMOND — Two recent polls show President Biden and former president Donald Trump tied in Virginia, a surprising finding
A Fox News survey released Thursday has Biden and Trump with 48 percent apiece, and a Roanoke College poll late last month had them both at 42 percent. While some independent analysts say they have trouble squaring those polls with other surveys showing a tight race nationwide, they nevertheless see potential warning signs for Biden.
“It really doesn’t matter to me what any poll says at any time,” Swecker said. “We know what our job is. We know what is at stake. And we’re just laser-focused on that.”Nathan L. Gonzales, editor and publisher of Inside Elections, said it is hard to understand how Biden could be tied with Trump in Virginia if polls also show him running even or just behind Trump nationally and in polls of undisputed battleground states.
Trump has never enjoyed widespread popularity in the commonwealth, where his “drain the swamp” mantra played especially poorly in the Northern Virginia suburbs that are home to much of the federal workforce. He lost the state by more than 5 points to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and he did not seriously campaign in the state in 2020.
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