Sceptics argue it is all a waste of time, and that Nicolás Maduro has no intention of agreeing to anything that could see him lose power. But another view is that he has his eyes on retirement
For it was that vote, a fraud managed by a biased electoral authority, that led dozens of Western countries to brand Mr Maduro a dictator and isolate his regime. The United States has imposedon him and most of his political allies, including Ms Flores. American companies, once the main buyers of Venezuela’s crude oil, are prohibited from all dealings with the regime. The American government has offered a $15m award for information leading to the arrest of Mr Maduro.
Mr Maduro, a former bus driver snobbishly dismissed as a “donkey” by his enemies, has proved far wilier than they had imagined. “He has uncanny situational intelligence,” says a former official in his government. “If there are three people in a room and one must die, it won’t be him.” The key to his survival has been patronage. “The government is more like a clan now,” says the ex-official. Generals, governors and gang leaders rule parts of the country like mini-fiefs.
After denying for years that Venezuela faces a humanitarian crisis, Mr Maduro agreed in April to allow the’s boss, David Beasley in Caracas, the capital. Eleven days later the government transferred six former executives of Citgo, an oil-refining firm based in America, from prison, where they had been since 2017, to house arrest. The attorney-general vowed to investigate the security services’ role in three controversial killings.
The announcement has, as intended, divided the opposition. Mr Guaidó initially rejected it as an “imposition of the regime”, but others seem keen to take part. Henrique Capriles, a former presidential candidate who helped negotiate the deal, described it as the “least bad”since Mr Maduro’s predecessor and mentor, Hugo Chávez, won elections in 1998.
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