Our UTEP vs. Western Kentucky predictions are high on Elijah Young making plays out of the backfield.
UTEP has allowed a ton of receiving yards to running backs in the quick passing game, and we expect Elijah Young to do more of the same tonight.
Sam Houston State, Colorado State, and Liberty all saw their third-down backs catch at least two passes for 20+ yards despite low target rates.That’s because he’s third on Western’s team in targets, catching 20 of the 24 passes thrown his way through five games. He has a 17% usage rate on passing downs, by far the highest on the team, and has been targeted 15 times on 70 routes against three non-Power Four opponents.
He’s got 24+ receiving yards in all three games against non-P4 schools and is averaging 40 yards in those three contests. I’m expecting a game for Young similar to his performance against Middle Tennessee State, where he caught five passes for 64 yards.Western Kentucky not only will cover the spread, but it’ll win by at least 24 points. UTEP has scored just 55 points in four games against FBS opposition, and seven of those came last week via a scoop-and-score.
This UTEP team isn’t just struggling to score and stop teams from gaining yards; it’s shooting itself in the foot with turnovers and penalties. The Miners also try to play fast on offense and will find things tough against a solid Western secondary. The Hilltoppers will cause multiple turnovers and easily cover the spread.
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