USF vs. Louisville prediction: March Madness 2026 pick, odds, best bet for Round of 64 Thursday

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USF vs. Louisville prediction: March Madness 2026 pick, odds, best bet for Round of 64 Thursday
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South Florida vs. Louisville is quickly becoming one of the most popular games of the day.

Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our Thursday’s Round of 64 matchup between South Florida and Louisville is quickly becoming one of the most popular games of the first round, with bettors flocking to one of the earliest matchups on the first day of The Bulls are 4.

5-point underdogs against the Cardinals, but are the most bet-on team to cover the spread among all the Thursday games, according toStar freshman and potential NBA lottery pick Mikel Brown Jr. has been ruled out for the Round of 64, and his status for the Round of 32 is still a toss-up if Louisville makes it that far Brown has already missed four games since re-aggravating a back injury that he dealt with earlier this season.He’s Louisville’s second-leading scorer, which puts a ton of pressure on his teammates to pick up the slack on offense. Senior guard Ryan Conwell has filled the scoring void admirably with three 20-point games in the four games, and sophomore guard Adrian Wooley has seen his minutes jump with Brown sidelined.Nebraska vs. Troy prediction: March Madness 2026 Round of 64 picks, oddsMeanwhile, the Bulls haven’t lost since January, and their three losses in 2026 are a 106-103 double-overtime game against UAB, an 86-85 overtime loss to Wichita State and a 79-78 loss to Temple. If the biggest question mark for the Cardinals is health, the biggest unknown for USF is experience against good competition.The Bulls have great metrics — they rank 43rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, 47th in Free Throw Rate, and sixth in Offensive Rebound Rate — but haven’t faced a team in the field of 68 since they beat UMBC in December. The Post has you covered with a printable NCAA bracket featuring the full 68-team March Madness 2026 field. Most of those five wins against the spread came against teams that were overmatched, and their win against Miami at the end of the regular season could easily have been a loss if the ball bounced differently. I think the Bulls have the momentum here. This number has already come down from 6.5 to 4.5, but I think there’s still some value on the Bulls here to give the Cardinals a scare in crunch time.Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017. He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports. He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props.Ex-WWE star purchased $1M home, boat with stolen welfare funds in state's largest fraud case: prosecutorsJack Hughes owns Rangers again — this time at the GardenStream It Or Skip It: 'Imperfect Women' On Apple TV, Where A Murder Unearths Secrets Among A Group Of Longtime Friends

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