College football odds, picks and prediction for USC Trojans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Week 7 betting free pick and game analysis.
USC's offense can't be stopped? Not so fast. Between the Notre Dame resistance, and some rough weather brewing, our college football picks have the Trojan attack being subdued in Week 7.Wins and final scores do not tell the whole story. After the Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost at Louisville last week, many casual fans assumed they would be underdogs against the USC Trojans this weekend. Instead, Notre Dame opened as a short favorite on Sunday and has remained a short favorite.
A spread within a field goal is troubling for an honest handicap here. But every piece of those previous two paragraphs suggests an Under here. Including all of that, the Cardinals gained only 0.05 expected points per offensive play, the type of number that fits into the 56th percentile of offensive performances, per gameonpaper.com. Louisville’s offense had plenty of hype heading into that game, ranked No. 15 in offensive EPA and No. 34 in the SP+ ratings a week ago. Notre Dame gave up only four explosive plays to one of the most explosive offenses in the country.
To take this a step further, Irish kickers have long said wind “swirls” in Notre Dame Stadium. And the wind will swirl all night, those 13 mph winds lasting until 11 p.m., per early Friday morning forecasts. To pile onto that, 50-degree temperatures will make slightly heavier footballs, making long field goals that touch more unlikely.
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