FIBA World Cup predictions, odds, and betting tips for USA vs Jordan on August 30. FIBA World Cup betting free pick and SGP.
One of the most fun subplots of the entire World Cup has been the reemergence of Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. For those who don’t remember him, Hollis-Jefferson played six seasons in the NBA, the majority with the Brooklyn Nets, before moving on to opportunities in Turkey, Germany, and the Philippines.
Rondae was contracted by the Jordanian national team to become a naturalized citizen in order to play for them in the World Cup, and they’re surely thrilled with how the investment has paid off. When he played in the NBA, Hollis-Jefferson was a defensive-minded forward, a nice passer, and generally a guy who made winning plays. But he absolutely was not a scorer. He averaged 9.2 points in his NBA career on a 45.8% effective field goal percentage and never averaged even one 3-point attempt per game for a season. You certainly wouldn’t know it given how he’s played for Jordan so far. Against Greece, Hollis-Jefferson added 24 points on 7-for-11 shooting from the field, followed up by a tournament-best effort against New Zealand where he totaled 39 points on 12 of 24 shooting. He also nailed a game-tying three, was fouled, and completed the four-point play to send the game to overtime. Hollis-Jefferson’s heroics and decision to wear number 24 saw him serenaded by chants of “Kobe” as he kept Jordan competitive in both games. But Hollis-Jefferson’s success was about more than just hot shooting, it was about another fundamental aspect of good offensive basketball: drawing fouls. While Hollis-Jefferson is still a limited 3-point shooter, he’s been a revelation at the charity stripe. Free throws are the most efficient shots in basketball at every level, and Hollis-Jefferson has gone 23-for-29 from the foul line through two games. That makes his Cinderella run unlikely to continue against Team USA. A huge part of drawing fouls is creating the initial advantage, and while Hollis-Jefferson excelled at doing so against Greece and New Zealand, it will be much tougher sledding against the likes of Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart. Team USA has the best defenders in the tournament, and because they so infrequently get caught out of position, they rarely commit fouls. At just 16 per game, they’re committing the fourth fewest of any of the 32 World Cup teams. Hollis-Jefferson has had an incredible tournament run, and he certainly warrants another look in the NBA, but I’m betting his final game of Jordan’s group play will not be overly impactful.
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