US New Vehicle Sales Expected to Surge in 2024

Automotive News

US New Vehicle Sales Expected to Surge in 2024
AUTO SALESELECTRIC VEHICLESDEMAND
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Industry analysts predict a 2.5% or less increase in new vehicle sales in 2024, reaching their highest level since 2019. This growth is attributed to factors like normalized inventory levels, automaker incentives, and lower financing rates. Electric vehicle sales are also projected to reach a new record, nearing 1.3 million units and capturing an 8% market share.

S&P Global, Edmunds and Cox Automotive expect new auto sales to increase year-over-year by 2.5% or less to achieve the industry's best results since 2019.

DETROIT — U.S. new vehicle sales are expected to rise next year to their highest level since 2019, led by lower interest rates and improving affordability, according to industry analysts.Cox Automotive expects new light-duty vehicle sales to hit 16.3 million in 2025, slightly higher than forecasts by S&P Global Mobility and Edmunds of roughly 16.2 million sales next year. Such sales would be up from expectations of 15.

Another expected growth area remains electrified vehicles, including hybrids, plug-in hybrid and all-electric models, according to analysts. Valdez Streaty and others cautioned EV sales could be weaker if there's an end to federal consumer credits for purchasing the vehicles of up to $7,500, which the Trump administration hasCox Automotive chief economist Jonathan Smoke said tariffs on those countries, which Trump has said could be 25%, would be"a radical disruption" to the U.S. new vehicle market.U.S. President-elect Donald Trump delivers remarks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., December 16, 2024.

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