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Lingering effects from the government shutdown continue to blur economic analysis, but two reports scheduled this week will provide markets with some much-needed clarity on how the fourth-quarter is unfolding.
and consumer inflation will be closely read and possibly dispense market-moving releases. In the best-case scenario, the numbers will show that hiring is stabilizing if not rebounding, while, if not easing, isn’t trending up. Economists, however, are expecting results that support the recent narrative of a weakening labor market and inflation that’s ticking higher, moving further above the Fed’s 2% target. The consensus forecast calls for hiring to slow sharply in November to +40,000, down from 119,000 in September, according to Econoday.com’s survey results. for the upcoming Q3 GDP report scheduled for Dec. 23. Output is expected to rise at a strong 3.6% annualized pace, down slightly from Q2’s increase. Even if the incoming numbers are better than expected, the interruption of the government’s data collection during the shutdown will continue to muddy the waters. “It may take until December data is released in January to feel confident regarding whether inflation is cooling toward target or stuck at elevated levels,” says Andrew Hollenhorst, chief economist at Citi.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
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