Experts from the University of the Philippines (UP) have recommended a review of the government's strategies for social distancing and other health protocols, as well as the continued easing of restrictions, particularly in Metro Manila and Cebu province, to prevent the pandemic from
Experts from the University of the Philippines have recommended a review of the government’s strategies for social distancing and other health protocols, as well as the continued easing of restrictions, particularly in Metro Manila and Cebu province, to prevent the pandemic from “getting out of control.”
If the reproduction number is less than 1, the infection is spreading slowly and this could lead to the epidemic dying out. If the number is higher, the progress of the epidemic will also be faster. The recovery rate has also increased to almost 50 percent, while the hospital mortality rate is currently at 15 percent.
Assuming that the value of reproduction is maintained, the team’s forecast for Cebu province showed 11,000 cases and 90 deaths by June 30.The possible escalation to 40,000 cases and 1,850 deaths in the country by the end of June, the researches said, “needs to be examined and given appropriate and immediate response by the government.”
In Metro Manila, the team has recommended a need to reduce the number of new COVID-19 cases for 14 days as per international health policy consensus. “The easing of quarantine restrictions must be matched with tighter monitoring, stricter social distancing, and the wearing of PPEs and increased testing and surveillance as the working population begins to increase their exposure,” they added.
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