Mortality rates for tornadoes in the Mid-South are higher than anywhere else in the states due to urbanization and risk of tornado frequency.
There has been a tenfold increase since since 1950 in the disaster potential for tornadoes across the Mid-South far higher than Tornado Alley according to Dr. Walker Ashley.– Growing populations and suburban sprawl are increasing the risk of tornado vulnerability.
One significant aspect of this is the impact of urbanization on tornado frequency and risk according toAs urban areas expand, particularly in regions like the Mid-South where many manufactured homes are located, the risk of tornadoes becomes more pronounced. The increased exposure of people and assets in these areas and the shift of tornado frequency eastward are making the risk higher even though there’s limited evidence to suggest a significant increase in the number of tornadoes, especially significant ones.Climate change plays a role in exacerbating these risks, with increasing heat and moisture providing more energy for stronger storms.
Professor Ashley uses numerical modeling to assess the environmental factors that support tornado formation to understand these changes. These models show an increase in severe weather events, particularly in the Mid-South, due to changing environmental conditions.
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