'Ukrainian forces will likely capture or encircle Lyman within the next 72 hours,' the Institute for the Study of War said on Friday.
on the same day that Russian forces were partially enclosed near Lyman and said the operation to retake the settlement was"at the final stage."from ISW, the U.S.-based think tank, assessed the state of the war on Friday and predicted the city would fall within days, potentially dealing a significant blow to Putin's claim of controlling the region.
Russian correspondents and the Russian-backed government in the"Donetsk People's Republic" reportedly said that Lyman was still controlled by Russian forces as of Friday but that troops had withdrawn from key positions.
Putin declared in a speech from Moscow on Friday that residents of Ukraine's Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions would be Russian citizens"forever" following annexation. Justin Bronk, senior research fellow at Royal United Services Institute, a British defense and security think tank,that Ukraine retaking Lyman would be"politically embarrassing for Putin," given his annexation claim.
"More significantly, perhaps, will be the potential role effects on already shaken morale among Russian troops elsewhere in Ukraine," Bronk added."Assuming the encirclement results in large scale Russian personnel and materiel losses on top of those suffered in Kharkiv oblast over the past month."
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