Ukraine and the European Union must adapt their battlefield and political strategies in recognition that this may be the last major U.S. aid package.
invasion. The package includes air defense, artillery, and long-range rocket-launched missiles. The first Ukrainian pilots are also close to completing their conversion training on F-16 fighter jets. These additive capabilities will bolster Ukraine’s defenses and enable its more effective targeting of and imposition of friction upon high-value Russian targets., and the principle that aggressive imperial gambits do not prevail.
The devastation Ukraine has already caused to Russia’s Black Sea Fleet offers a template for it to double down on.and continue striking Russian targets, including petroleum facilities, inside Russia proper. Alongside new capabilities such as F-16s, this strategy can help Ukraine resist Russian offensives and exploit their failures . Ukraine can simultaneously continue to drain the resolve and capabilities of the Russian military and war economy.
True, international sanctions against Russia have yet to achieve significant effects. But they will have a growing impact over time as Russian finance remains unable to access Western markets and Russian shortages of high-tech/high-value industrial goods become more profound. All of this explains why Putin wants this war over as soon as possible. Russia’s position is less confident than Putin presents it to be.
Top line: If Ukraine is to succeed, and it can succeed, Kyiv and its European neighbors must recognize that this U.S. aid package is unlikely to be repeated in scale. Ukraine must adapt its strategy, and Europe must get real about Russia’s renewed challenge to the European continent.
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