Analysis - As the Church rages against Canterbury, Museveni's authoritarian regime might be the last guarantor of sexual minority rights.
While the influence of US evangelicals continues to be apparent, for example, in, suspicions of their involvement in the current Bill remains unproven . Whatever the case, a number of actors are convinced that it is 'new money flowing in that got people riled up.' Others even argue that the current campaign is fuelled by Russia to widen the rift between the West and Uganda.Whatever the case, Western actors are in a difficult position.
While this time around there are discussions among Western embassies on what line to take, there is a consensus to refrain from public action or statements, acknowledging the potential damage such a line could have in a highly flammable situation. Related to this - and markedly different from 2013/2014 - is Museveni's increased hostility towards the West. The latter, and its foreign aid in particular, is now increasingly seen as a threat.
This started with the suspension of the Democratic Governance Facility, a multi-donor pool fund for governance and democracy activities, after the 2021 Elections. Although the fund financed both NGOs and government entities, the president accused the entity of. Although the Fund was - after long delays and negotiations - reopened for a few months, the hostility remained.
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