When UConn isn’t giving up layups and foul shots, it’s getting torched from long distance, and Florida will take full advantage on Sunday.
When UConn isn’t giving up layups and foul shots, it’s getting torched from long distance, and Florida will take full advantage on Sunday.The No. 1 Florida Gators test their mettle against the defending champion No.
9 UConn Huskies in Raliegh, which looks good on paper. Oddsmakers, on the other hand, have the Gators teetering on double-digit favorites. I believe that spread is big for a reason, and I like UF to fill it up with my best UConn vs. Florida predictions and While UConn could provide a stiff test, the outright odds insist that Florida goes through, giving the Gators an implied win probability of 84%. I have the Gators going through to the Sweet 16 in my bracket.win over Oklahoma on Friday night may lead you to believe the Huskies played lockdown defense in a 67-59 victory.The Huskies constantly allowed high-percentage looks, got exposed by the pick-and-roll, and were painfully slow on help defense. But they got let off the hook by an OU offense that just couldn’t finish.The Gators enter this Round of 32 date as the top-rated offense in the country and showcased that attack with a squash of Norfolk State in the opening round. Florida scored almost 86 points an outing and has topped 80 points in 13 of its last 14 games, with that lone miss coming on a 79-point showing. The Huskies’ biggest weakness is this defense. Connecticut has a ton of size but is plodding on the defensive end and constantly finds itself out of position, either giving up easy looks or getting whistled for fouls. Dan Hurley’s team sent Oklahoma to the stripe 27 times and ranks 347th in foul percentage per play, gift-wrapping almost 22 free-throw attempts for foes per game. Connecticut had seven players with three or more fouls on Friday, which makes the defense extra passive in the second half as players try not to foul out. The Gators go to the line more than 21 times per contest on the season and have been extra aggressive in drawing calls in recent games, making 24.4 trips to the charity stripe over the last 10 games .When UConn isn’t giving up layups and foul shots, it’s getting torched from long distance. The Huskies have the third-worst 3-point defense of any remaining NCAA Tournament team, watching opponents connect on 34.6% of their looks from long range. The Gators are far from lights-out from beyond the arc, but they will let it fly. Florida knocked down 10 triples in the win over Norfolk State and averages 9.9 makes on 28 attempts from distance . This Florida Team Total is at 80.5 points, which isn’t too far off the 74.5-point TT the Gators had against Tennessee in the SEC tournament – facing a Volunteers team rated No. 3 in defense and playing one of the slowest tempos in the country .Game projections have UF scoring between 77 and 88 points in this Round of 32 matchup, with my number at 84 points knowing the Gators will shoot a high percentage and pick up a ton of points from the stripe with the clock stopped.Richard’s projections call for a 10-plus effort. He can hurt UConn from beyond the arc. Condon will be battling on the boards against a big UConn team, but is forecasted for at least seven rebounds.Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600. His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”Rohit PonnaiyaCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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