President Trump is vulnerable to Iranian revenge in an election year | Analysis by NicRobertsonCNN
Logically -- and Iran's leaders are intensely pragmatic in that far-sighted way -- Tehran will likely calibrate its vowed"harsh revenge" response to the killing of Qasem Soleimani in a bid to cost Trump re-election.Part of that calculation is likely to have Iran focus on targets inside the United States as well as in the Middle East, not just to embarrass Trump but to limit regional escalation.Hours after the strike Trump said his intention was"to stop a war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin might value Trump for his naivety and inexperience, but not his unpredictability, particularly where Russian interests can be negatively impacted like the Middle East. A big regional war would be inevitably costly for Russia; they simply couldn't walk away from the blood and toil they've spent in Syria.
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