President Trump is spending time in Nevada this weekend — a state he lost in 2016, but that his campaign sees as a critical part of a backup path to re-election, as his current electoral odds continue to narrow in states he won narrowly that year.
gave Democratic nominee Joe Biden a 4-point advantage over Trump in the state, making it one of the closest contests in the nation.
Campaign advisers say there are several favorable demographics in Nevada that they believe could work to Trump’s advantage. The state has a large white working-class population, a group Trump has traditionally polled well with. His campaign also points to growing support among the Hispanic voters who make up more than a quarter of Nevada’s population.
While Trump’s popularity among rural white voters in Nevada is extremely strong, he is struggling with suburban Las Vegas voters, Gelman said. Trump will also have to contend with the powerful Culinary Workers Union, which is making a push to get their members to mail in their ballots early, Gelman said.to block a new state law that will send mail-in ballots to all active Nevada voters amid the coronavirus pandemic.
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