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Trump sees a 'big, fat hug' from China's Xi, but Iran war adds trip tension

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Trump sees a 'big, fat hug' from China's Xi, but Iran war adds trip tension
Donald TrumpXi JinpingChina

President Donald Trump's trip to China may not come with the same fanfare that accompanied his first-term visit. In 2017, China went all out to welcome the new American president. For this week's get-together between Trump and China's Xi Jinping, the Iran war is raising the stakes for both sides. For one, China is the biggest buyer of Iran's oil.

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Here's what to doRejecting church and state separation is on the wish list for Trump's religious liberty commissionEsculturas de Leonora Carrington se presentan en laberintoPresident Donald Trump is heading back to China, but this time, the Iran war raises the stakes for both sides. China is the bigger purchaser of Iranian oil. Trump had hoped China would do more to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping participate in a welcome ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, Nov. 9, 2017. President Donald Trump, left, and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands before their meeting at Gimhae International Airport in Busan, South Korea, Oct. 30, 2025. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One to board Air Force One at Ocala International Airport, in Ocala Fla.

, Friday, May 1, 2026, after speaking at an event in The Villages, Fla. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping speak together as they tour the Forbidden City, Nov. 8, 2017, in Beijing, China. President Donald Trump is heading back to China, but this time, the Iran war raises the stakes for both sides. China is the bigger purchaser of Iranian oil.

Trump had hoped China would do more to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping participate in a welcome ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, Nov. 9, 2017. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping participate in a welcome ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, Nov. 9, 2017.

President Donald Trump, left, and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands before their meeting at Gimhae International Airport in Busan, South Korea, Oct. 30, 2025. President Donald Trump, left, and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands before their meeting at Gimhae International Airport in Busan, South Korea, Oct. 30, 2025. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One to board Air Force One at Ocala International Airport, in Ocala Fla.

, Friday, May 1, 2026, after speaking at an event in The Villages, Fla. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One to board Air Force One at Ocala International Airport, in Ocala Fla. , Friday, May 1, 2026, after speaking at an event in The Villages, Fla. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping speak together as they tour the Forbidden City, Nov. 8, 2017, in Beijing, China.

President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping speak together as they tour the Forbidden City, Nov. 8, 2017, in Beijing, China. stretching back to Trump’s first term, could crimp the good feelings when Trump flies to Beijing this week — even though the Republican president has for years effusively praised Xi, making it clear he sees China’s leader as a competitor strong enough to warrant his respect and admiration.

Trump isn’t fond of long plane rides or extended stretches away from the White House or his properties in Florida and New Jersey. He is expected to only spend parts of three days on the ground in China. There will be plenty of pomp, but the grandeur is not expected to rival Trump’s first visit to China in 2017, which Beijing dubbed a “state visit-plus.

” “Even before this whole conflagration with Iran, they weren’t going to go state visit-plus like last time, just because things are tense,” said Jonathan Czin, a former director for China at the National Security Council during the Biden administration. On Trump’s first-term trip, China rolled out the red carpet for his arrival, with a band playing military music and children waving flags and chanting “Welcome. ”even had a private dinner there.

Trump was the first foreign leader since the People’s Republic of China was founded in 1949 to experience what was once reserved for emperors.at the Great Hall of the People and featured a military parade. There also was a state banquet in Trump’s honor with video highlights from the Chinese leader’s previous visit to Florida and a clip of Trump’s granddaughter Arabella singing in Chinese. Beijing does not offer this level of spectacle to most visiting foreign leaders.

When British Prime Minister Keir Starmer visited the Forbidden City in January, Xi did not attend and the site remained open to the public. Starmer had to contend with tourists. Ali Wyne, senior U.S.-China research and advocacy adviser for the Washington nonprofit the Crisis Group, said the “Chinese delegation will likely do its utmost to ensure that Trump leaves Beijing believing that he has just concluded the most extraordinary state visit of his two presidencies.

” But, he said, the “pomp and circumstance would serve a different role now than they did when he first visited Beijing” because “Xi has a much better understanding of Trump, and the administration’s own national security strategy and national defense strategy recognize China as a near-peer. ” Expectations for what gets accomplished could be lower this time, said Czin, now a fellow at the Brookings Institution.

He predicted that the Chinese may not offer major breakthroughs on trade or anything else because they are “working backward from our midterm elections” with the theory that the closer they get to Election Day “the more leverage they are going to have. ”“President Trump cares about results, not symbols,” White House spokesman Anna Kelly said.

“But even still, the president has a great relationship with President Xi, and the upcoming summit in Beijing will be both symbolically and substantively significant. ”Trump could meet with China’s leader four times in eight months. After his visit to Beijing, Trump plans to host Xi at the White House. Trump might also attend the November Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Shenzhen, China.

And Xi could come to theCzin noted that Xi also is not very fond of travel, meaning not all of the planned encounters may happen. He said China’s leader also does not “do personal connections” like the kind Trump relishes, noting Xi led a ChineseWyne, though, said Xi also “appreciates that he is unlikely to deal with another U.S. president who admires him as greatly and embraces as narrow a view of strategic competition.

”Trump told The Wall Street Journal’s editorial board in 2024 that Xi “was actually a really good ... I don’t want to say ‘friend. ’ I don’t want to act foolish.

‘He was my friend. ’ But I got along with him great. ” Trump even suggested at the time that military force might not be required to ensure that Chinese troops do not encroach onDuring his 2017 visit, Trump announced $250 billion in nonbinding trade deals, some of which never materialized. A round of trade deals announced in 2020 and worth $200 billion mostly never came to fruition before Trump’s first term ended.

More recently, Trump’s announcement last year of steep global tariffs prompted China to cut off purchases of U.S. soybeans and clamp down on exports of rare earth minerals needed by American factories.last fall that has limited tariffs on both sides. The administration has continued to make reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China a priority, insisting it can do so while still working to encourage trade between the two countries.

Kelly, the White House spokeswoman, said Trump “doesn’t travel anywhere without bringing deliverables home to our country. ”

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