A social media post claims that Donald Trump won the 18-to-24-year-old vote in Wisconsin. This claim is based on exit polls and needs further verification.
However, other exit polls show Vice President Kamala Harris winning 18-to-29-year-olds in Wisconsin . Experts say it can’t be determined which of these polls is 'right' because exit polls are a snapshot in time.
President-elect Donald Trump won Wisconsin by nearly 30,000 votes after losing the state four years ago by some 20,000 votes, but did he really win 18-to-24-year-olds in the state? There have been a lot of different takes on how Trump took the state over Vice President Kamala Harris, but one in particular caught our eye: Gagnon, according to his profile, is a 'progressive Republican' and 'ballot chaser' for Turning Point Action and Republican Party of Milwaukee County. The claim piqued PolitiFact Wisconsin’s interest because four years earlier, in 2020, in Wisconsin, 14% of all votes cast came from young voters, ages 18 to 29. Of these, 58% supported Joe Biden, while 39% backed Donald Trump, according to the The impact of that demographic, especially youth of color’s support for Biden, was decisive in races across the country, according to the CIRCLE (the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement), which describes itself as a non-partisan, independent research organization focused on youth civic engagement. In his post, Gagnon included a table showing Trump winning 50% of the 18-to-24-year-old vote in Wisconsin, while Harris received 48%. Gagnon did not provide a source for his figures, and attempts to reach him for comment were not successful. However, a quick Google search finds that the figures originate from a Nov. 19, 2024, garnered 80.9K views and 2.1K likes on X. Thus, we are attributing the claim to social media for purposes of this fact check. Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll, noting the figures were from CNN exit polling, pointed out that the post skipped the first age table for Wisconsin voters, which looks at a slightly different demographic: 18-to-29-year-old Wisconsin voter
Elections Donald Trump Wisconsin Kamala Harris Exit Polls Youth Vote
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