This article analyzes the challenges facing Donald Trump's second presidency, highlighting the difficulties of governing with a narrow majority, his lame duck status, and internal divisions within the Republican party. It also criticizes his personnel choices and suggests that the MAGA movement lacks the experience and competence to effectively wield power.
As the sun rises on 2025—at least in the parts of the country where there is January sunlight—America's basic predicament has become clearer. The country has one political party that can govern but not consistently win elections, and another that can win elections but can't seem to govern.
Americans chose to give the latter group virtually unfettered power in November, and three weeks into 2025, the Republican Party will complete its takeover of Washington with the second inauguration of Donald Trump as the president of the United States. The looming question is whether he will be able to get much of anything done given one of the narrowest House majorities in American history, the reality of his lame duck status, and emerging fissures in the Republican coalition that are cracking open weeks before Trump is even sworn in.Overall, the transition period has not been an encouraging sign for MAGA enthusiasts hoping to radically reorient American trade and immigration policy, wage a multi-front administrative war on 'wokeism' and somehow also not accidentally break an economy they just spent several years trashing as a disaster, only to now inherit responsibility for it wholesale. Trump himself has shown his age and disastrous instincts in multiple ways, wasting precious political capital on transparently absurd personnel choices like Matt Gaetz as attorney general and Fox News commentator Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense. These are strange, unqualified people whose already worrisome scandals seem to have their own sub-scandals.The idea that Trump would come into office a second time with a seasoned, battle-ready staff, sporting an expansive and legally-vetted day one agenda has run headlong into the reality that the beating heart of MAGA world still appears to have no earthly idea how to effectively wield power on a moment-to-moment basis. Instead, it has once again been amateur hour for close to two long months, with 48 more to g
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