Trump's Return: A 2025 Forecast of Global Impact

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Trump's Return: A 2025 Forecast of Global Impact
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The return of Donald Trump to the Oval Office is poised to significantly impact global politics in 2025. From European security concerns to economic ramifications, Trump's policies are predicted to have far-reaching consequences.

Readers would be hard-pressed to find a nation around the world that will not be touched by policies or the disruptive influence of Donald Trump in 2025.

Behind the scenes, however, European leaders are preparing for a far different response based on which of Trump’s previous statements – and outright threats – will become policy.is in a political quagmire and appears unlikely to get out of it soon. The lack of a solid parliamentary majority for Macron is making it hard for the government to tackle big issues, especially the growing budget deficit – which is topping 6 per cent of GDP.

Traditional Russian wooden dolls called Matryoshka depicting China’s President Xi Jinping, US President-elect Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin for sale at a souvenir shop in St Petersburg last month.There will also be geopolitical challenges for the US as the war in Gaza spills over into the new year, and as Russia’s war with Ukraine enters its third bloody winter.

Back in Washington, it will be interesting to see what role Elon Musk will continue to play in the president’s orbit. 2025 will also be a year of rebuilding for demoralised Democrats following Vice President Kamala Harris’ crushing defeat. After losing the White House, the US Congress, and all seven battleground states, the party now has a leadership vacuum and a policy void it needs to fill as it heads towards the midterm elections in 2026.

Indonesia’s newly inaugurated President Prabowo Subianto greets Australia’s Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence, Richard Marles, in Jakarta in October.The strongman ex-general, forever dogged by questions about his human rights record, also intends to pardon about a third of Indonesia’s prison population to ease overcrowding. Papuan freedom fighters will be on the list, perhaps signalling he wishes to engage more constructively on matters of self-determination.

The South China Sea will again be a challenging matter for ASEAN, which is moving extremely slowly, as it likes to do, on a code of conduct with China.’s Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim is fond of China and, incensed at what is happening in Gaza, has been shifting his sentiments away from the West. How far he turns the dial on this will be relevant to Australia because Malaysia is a strong security partner, and even. Expect more clashes with China in 2025.

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