President Donald Trump's approval rating among voters with a high school education or less has fallen to an all-time low, raising questions about his reliability with one of his most loyal constituencies.
President Donald Trump's approval rating among voters with a high school education or less has fallen to an all-time low, according to new polling, raising fresh questions about whether the president is losing ground with one of his most reliable political constituencies.
The latest figures from Echelon Insights show Trump is now firmly underwater with this group, marking a dramatic reversal from the early months of his second term, when he enjoyed strong positive ratings among less-educated voters. For a demographic that has consistently anchored Republican electoral success in recent years, the shift signals a potentially significant crack in the coalition that returned Trump to the White House.
White House spokesman Davis Ingle told Newsweek in emailed comments that Trump had delivered historic progress at home and abroad, adding that no other President in history has accomplished more for the American people, while highlighting efforts to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more. The administration added that the president's agenda is still taking effect, with further results expected in the months ahead.
The latest Echelon Insights July 2026 Omnibus Survey provides the most up-to-date snapshot, showing that Trump is now clearly underwater, a notable shift for a demographic that has historically leaned in his favor. A comparison with the July 2025 Omnibus shows deterioration across the board, with both figures showing decline, but the crucial point is that his base has not been insulated from it.
From Strength to Deficit At the outset of his second term, Trump's standing among less educated voters was substantially stronger, according to the January 2025 Voter Omnibus. Comparing those figures to July 2026, the decline is sharper among this demographic than the electorate overall, an important signal about how opinion is evolving. A Core Trump Advantage Under Strain Trump's political success has been closely tied to strong performance among voters without college degrees.
Exit poll data from the 2024 election showed non-college voters favored Trump by a clear margin, making them a decisive bloc in key swing states. More broadly, this diploma divide has shaped American politics for nearly a decade, with non-college voters leaning Republican while college graduates generally trend Democratic. In that context, the latest polling is striking, not because Trump has lost this group outright, but because the margin of support has narrowed significantly and moved into negative territory.
Broader Evidence of Slippage The Echelon findings align with other polling analysis showing declining support among voters without college degrees, particularly outside the Republican base. An analysis of AP-NORC polling found that approval among independents without a college education dropped sharply during Trump's second term, falling from around half before taking office to about one-quarter by early 2026.
That shift suggests the erosion is not confined to one dataset, but part of a wider pattern affecting a group that was once central to Trump's appeal. Why This Could Matter for 2026 The electoral significance of less-educated voters cannot be overstated. They make up a substantial share of the electorate and are particularly influential in battleground regions such as the Midwest and parts of the South. Even modest shifts in support can translate into large changes in electoral outcomes.
Midterm elections amplify these effects, with turnout typically lower and more variable, meaning shifts in enthusiasm among core groups can have an outsized impact
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