Donald Trump's 2025 inauguration is expected to draw large crowds, with estimates relying on historical data, ticket distribution, and other factors. This article explores crowd size projections, comparing them to past inaugurations and considering potential influencing factors like weather and security.
Only two things in life are certain – death and taxes – but Americans can feel fairly confident that crowd size will be a topic of conversation after President-elect Donald Trump 's inauguration on Monday. The Republican returnee president-to-be has a history of touting the attendance of his rallies and admonishing political foes for comparatively lackluster crowd sizes. Crowd size was even the topic of heated debate after his last inauguration.
Can Trump expect more inaugural attendees for his return to office? And how did his 2017 crowd size compare with other recent presidents' inaugurations? A total of 220,000 tickets will be distributed for entering the Capitol Grounds, but members of the public are welcome to watch from parts of the National Mall, according to the Joint Congressional Committee on Inaugural Ceremonies. Some members of Congress, like Staten Island's Nicole Malliotakis, said they are no longer receiving ticket requests due to the 'large volume of requests.' Non-ticketholders are welcome to gather along Pennsylvania Avenue for the ceremonial presidential parade at 2:30 p.m., meaning thousands more are expected to flock to Washington, D.C.It's also worth noting that January 20, 2025, is Martin Luther King Jr. Day, a federal holiday, meaning millions of Americans will already have a holiday from work and won't need to take off to attend the inauguration in-person. Planned anti-Trump protests will draw even more crowds to the streets surrounding the Capitol, according to the Washington Post. More than 25,000 members of law enforcement and military personnel will provide security, the Post reported. This includes 7,800 National Guard members and 4,000 officers from across the U.S., FOX 5 DC reports. Frigid air from a polar vortex is expected to dip temperatures into single digits Sunday into Monday in Washington, D.C. These uncomfortable conditions could discourage some from attending the inauguration in-person. FOX 5 DC's Tucker Barnes also forecasts a chance of mixed rain and snow this weekend into early Monday morning. History shows that the warmest Inauguration Day was in 1951 when temperatures reached 70 degrees. The coldest was 18 degrees in 1994. It's impossible to estimate exactly how many people will attend Trump's inauguration in person. Even after January 20, the exact number of attendees will likely never be known. Counting the number of people at major public events is as much art as science. Due to a 1995 controversy over the tally of the Million Man March, the National Park Service no longer releases official estimates for inaugural crowds, according to the Associated Press. Here are reported estimates, according to the Poynter Institute, which cites archival media reports: Experts estimate crowd sizes by studying aerial photographs, according to the AP. Before the National Park Service stopped releasing estimates, they'd use a grid system to divide the Mall into sections of equal square footage. Then it counted the number of people in each section of the grid by looking at how tightly packed the crowd was and assigning a number of people per square foot. Inaugural estimates are challenging because the density of the crowd varies widely. Events in Washington are difficult in general because the city’s lack of tall buildings and security restrictions on aircraft make it tough to get comprehensive aerial images. Ridership on Washington’s Metro system and hotel vacancies can also be used for comparing attendance between inaugurations
TRUMP INAUGURATION CROWD SIZE ESTIMATES HISTORY WEATHER SECURITY
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