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“We are sadly ready if he does, and if we know that he is actually manipulating the press and attempting to manipulate the consensus of the American people … we are prepared to respond,” Vice President
“I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president and your 45th president,” Trump told the assembled crowd. But there was nothing premature about it. By the time the Harris campaign staffers awoke ready to close out strong, theand the networks had confirmed Trump the winner. Even in 2020, that process took four days. This time Trump had not only won but had completed the greatest political comeback in U.S.
As Election Day approached, Trump was starting to campaign in unusual places. Virginia, New Hampshire, and New Mexico did not appear to be swing states according to the public polling, though they were believed to be at risk for the Democrats when PresidentTrump didn’t end up carrying any of those reach states. But Loudoun County, a heavily college-educated suburban part of northern Virginia, swung 9 points to the right. He held Harris to 51.7% of the vote in New Mexico, 51.
Nor was Trump a downballot drag. He ran ahead of the Republican Senate candidate in every competitive race except for Larry Hogan in Maryland. He was an asset to the GOP’s efforts to take control of the chamber, after complaints about his influence on Senate races in 2022 and the loss of two Georgia Senate runoff elections in the aftermath of the 2020 contest. Republicans are on the cusp of enjoying unified control of the federal government.
Democrats resolved to fix this problem, along with the issue of Biden’s advanced age, by making a late candidate switch. Harris replaced Biden in late July, receiving much media adulation. Her convention in Chicago was judged a success, averting a 1968-like disaster as Gaza protests were held to a minimum. Harris was a more skilled communicator than an octogenarian Biden, with far better message discipline, and easily cleared the low bar her boss set in her only debate with Trump.
But without the pandemic and Trump currently serving in office, some of this fell flat. It was also the case that progressives were in a more irritable mood than in 2020, especially with Israel’s war in Gaza splitting the Democratic base. Harris and Biden tried to triangulate on the issue but often wound up just alienating both sides.
It is likely true that Trump will rely less on strangers who look good on television. TV readiness and looking like a Cabinet secretary straight out of central casting will still be important Trump considerations, of course. But the former and now future president understands how the government works better than he did in his first term. He also has a greater appreciation for the maxim that personnel is policy, which probably rules out a John Bolton return.
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