Trump, Biden policies shifted trade from China at a cost

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Trump, Biden policies shifted trade from China at a cost
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A study shows that consumers face higher costs without clear offsetting benefits.

JACKSON HOLE: US trade has shifted away from China due to policies enacted by the Biden and Trump administrations, but US reliance on China-linked supply chains has not necessarily been reduced and consumers have faced higher costs, according to new research presented today at a Federal Reserve economic symposium.

But US tariffs on Chinese goods, recently enacted industrial policies, and the pandemic, do seem to have touched off a “‘great reallocation’ in supply chain activity: Direct US sourcing from China has decreased,” from 21.6% of US imports as of 2016 to 16.5% last year, Alfaro and Chor wrote. It is not even certain that the decline in China’s US import share represents a true delinking, they said.

And among companies, they said, “concerns are being voiced over the wisdom of sprawling supply chains that can expose firms and countries to the risk of disruptions,” from events like the pandemic or severe weather, or policy shocks like tariffs.

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