A new Morning Consult survey finds President Trump’s net approval rating negative in several key Senate battleground states.
While Trump remains influential within the GOP, the Morning Consult survey indicates Republicans may face political headwinds heading into the 2026 midterms as Trump's slipping approval ratings in battleground states could complicate Republican efforts to defend vulnerable seats and unify behind candidates.
However, voters in states such as North Carolina have a record of splitting their tickets, in which case Trump’s approval ratings may not translate to Senate voting patterns. , fueling optimism that they can make gains in the Senate. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to flip control of the chamber.has reached out to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the National Republican Senatorial Committee for comment via email on Friday.
Democrats must defend all of their current Senate seats and flip four Republican-held seats to regain control of the chamber. , where Republican Senator Susan Collins faces Democrat Graham Platner, Michigan’s open Senate seat and Ohio, where Republican Senator Jon Husted is set to face former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown.
Other closely watched Senate races are unfolding in Alaska, where former Democratic Representative Mary Peltola is challenging Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, and in North Carolina, where former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper is facing former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley in the race to succeed retiring Senator Thom Tillis. , a reliably Republican state where they have long fallen short in statewide races.
However, some recent polls point to a highly competitive race, with Democrat James Talarico benefiting from Republican infighting ahead of the Republican primary runoff between Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. A Morning Consult found that Trump’s net approval rating is negative in all the Senate battleground states, with the biggest hit in Maine, at -17 points. In Michigan, Trump’s net approval rating is also significant, at -14 points.
The poll found his net approval rating in North Carolina -8, Iowa -7, Georgia -6, Ohio and Alaska -5, and the narrowest in Texas, -3. Overall, the poll found Trump’s lowest net approval rating in Vermont, at –41 points, and his highest in Wyoming, +25 points.has reached out to Morning Consult for details on the methodology. The report was compiled from Morning Consult's Political Intelligence weekly tracker, with about 2,000 registered voters in each wave.
In response to the Morning Consult's net approval rating survey, National Republican Senatorial Committee regional press secretary Nick Puglia toldin an email, “Democrats are divided, toxic, and increasingly unhinged. In November, radical leftists like Jon Ossoff and Roy Cooper will be rejected for fighting to raise taxes, open our borders, and release violent criminals from prison.
”, including Nate Silver, have found that Trump’s net approval rating has hit new lows recently, with the Silver Bulletin reportingThe Silver Bulletin aggregate finds Trump with a 58 percent disapproval rating and a 38.5 percent approval rating. The New York Times aggregate approval rating poll shows a similar landscape, 38 percent approval and 49 percent disapproval.
Trump's approval rating has consistently dipped below 40 percent in recent weeks, particularly after the U.S. and Israel launched coordinated attacks against Iran, starting a war. :"It is a problem I'm not on the ballot. Everyone says if I was on a ballot we'd win in a landslide. I have some of the best poll numbers I've ever had.
"Across every major policy area tested—including the economy, immigration, inflation, taxes and foreign policy—respondents were found to view Trump’s handling more negatively than positively. The poll found that 61 percent of participants believe it was a"mistake" for the U.S. to use military force against Iran.conducted between April 24 and 28 surveyed 2,560 U.S. adults and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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