The Trump administration is reportedly working on a plan to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, involving preconditions like elections, sanctions, and a demilitarized zone. However, key challenges remain, including securing both sides' participation in talks and reaching a compromise on contentious issues like NATO membership for Ukraine.
As the Trump administration's plan to end the Russia-Ukraine war takes shape, several key elements are expected to play a crucial role: elections, sanctions, and a shifting timeline. The projected timelines for ending the conflict have been anything but consistent, ranging from 24 hours to over a year. Donald Trump and his envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, claim to be working on a plan to broker an agreement and reach a lasting peace.
However, securing both sides' participation in talks will be a major challenge.The proposed peace deal would require a number of preconditions, including Ukraine holding presidential and parliamentary elections by the end of the year as part of an initial truce with Russia. While the US emphasizes the importance of upholding democratic norms, Ukrainian officials argue that holding elections now risks internal division and Russian interference. Another potential precondition is a demilitarized zone, requiring Ukrainian and Russian forces to withdraw from the frontlines. However, the specifics of such a withdrawal remain a point of contention. Both sides will likely revisit the terms discussed in the Istanbul Communique, a serious diplomatic effort mediated by Türkiye in early 2022. This agreement failed due to disagreements over key points, particularly Article 5, which would have allowed guarantor states to defend Ukraine in case of an armed attack. Russia demanded veto power over any such intervention, leading to Ukraine's withdrawal from the talks.Trump has also suggested leveraging tariffs and sanctions to pressure Moscow into a deal. However, given the limited bilateral trade between Russia and the US, tariffs may not be a significant threat. The ultimate success of any peace plan hinges on both sides' willingness to compromise. Ukraine's desire to preserve its territory and Russia's continued military advances create a complex and challenging landscape for negotiations
RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR PEACE TALKS DONALD TRUMP SANCTIONS ELECTIONS NATO
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